It's time once again to gaze into the crystal ball and try to guess which new bikes we'll see released this year. While supply chain issues were the source of major hold ups in recent years, it may well be the opposite problem - oversupply - that is delaying bike launches now. While there are still heaps of heavily discounted bikes around, a newly released bike at its full price is going to be a harder sell than ever, especially at a time when the pace of geometry change is slowing down.
Indeed, we don't foresee any mind blowing changes there, though it seems a few brands in this list may have some catching up to do, particularly in the seat tube angle department. That doesn't mean there aren't new developments to look forward to, though. There are plenty of advancements on the horizon when it comes to drivetrains and suspension, and hopefully the level of adjustment put into the hands of the rider. There'll be heaps of new eMTBs in the works I'm sure, but for now I'll keep the focus of this article on the bikes.
For those who aren't familiar with the process, bike companies typically refresh a model every three years or so, which means that compiling this list is as scientific as going through the archives and looking at the bikes that haven't been updated in a few years. There were also plenty of teasers released by companies over the summer as their athletes tried out the new bikes ahead of their official launch.
Keep in mind that this list focuses on updates or revisions to existing models - there are also lots of completely new bikes in the works.
Specialized Enduro,
Demo &
Stumpjumper EVOIt's now well over four years since Specialized updated the Enduro. Aside from the fact that we're now well beyond the usual development cycle for a new model, there is a comparatively more substantiable indication that the Enduro is about to be overhauled. That comes in the form of a recent patent application, describing an
Under Bottom Bracket suspension layout. It is not dissimilar to the layout of the Demo prototype raced by Loic Bruni and Finn Illes, but the document discusses its use on a 170mm travel frame pictured in some instances with space for a water bottle in the front triangle.
The UBB design is said to allow designers to “independently fine-tune key ride dynamics components, including axle path, shock leverage rate, and anti-squat/anti-rise characteristics for braking". While the kinematic, and the rider's ability to fine tune it, may change, we can't see the geometry changing heaps. Aside from its fairly slack seat tube angle, all other metrics seem to be fairly in line with other aggressive enduro bikes on the market. That said, i'm sure there's a hefty portion of the market that wishes an MX version would materialize.
The Stumpjumper EVO is also getting a little long in the tooth, having not seen an update since 2020. While time is marching on, we can't really identify any obvious revisions that this one might benefit from. Mike Kazimer's
review was wholly positive.
Nukeproof Reactor &
MegaThere is an elephant in the room here, of course. The future of Nukeproof is, sadly, a little uncertain. Its parent company, Signa Sports United, is
currently up for sale after entering administration at the tail end of last year. Word is that the "sales process is gathering pace", and so we hope to see Nukeproof (and Vitus, Chain Reaction Cycles and Wiggle) back in business well before 2024 is out.
All being well, we reckon Nukeproof will renew its 130-150mm trail bike at some point this year. The Reactor, currently available in a 27.5" 150mm travel iteration, and a 29" 130mm iteration, has remained unchanged since its inception in 2019. I don't imagine the 27.5" option will remain in place, and any second generation 29" Reactor will have its travel bumped up to around 140mm, with some subtle geometry updates; likely a slacker head angle, and (one would hope) a steeper seat tube angle. It'll go to UDH, too.
Then, there's the Nukeproof Mega, an enduro bike that was last updated in 2020. The V4 has seen an incremental update with the introduction of the 297 (mullet) frameset, but it was created from the marriage between the 290's front triangle and the 275's swingarm, rather than a frame that was necessarily developed from the ground up. And, though the existence of the Mega was called into question with the launch of the Giga "Super Enduro" bike, we did in fact see many of Nukeproof's enduro athletes opt for the shorter travel Mega for most of the EDR races in 2023.
Norco Optic &
SightThe Norco Optic is well overdue an update, still unchanged since its inception in 2019. Even with the update to the
Fluid FS last year, there is still a heap of overlap between the two short travel 29ers. Only 5mm separates their rear wheel travel, and the geometry differences are few and far between; for example, head angle, reach and chainstay length are identical. We see the biggest difference at the BB, with the Optic 8mm lower than the Fluid FS.
We can see this going in one of two directions – either the Optic will be pushed more towards the downcountry side of the spectrum, billed as a more capable version of the Revolver, or it'll go the other way, with a little more travel to make it a full-blown aggressive trail bike, leaving the Fluid FS as the more mellow, all-rounder.
The Sight is also due an update, the latest 150mm travel iteration having been kicking around since early 2020. While Mike Kazimer's impressions were largely quite positive, it seems that the linkage left a little to be desired in terms of its bottom-out resistance. We'd expect Norco to increase the bike's overall progression from its current 18.75%, specifically with a lower end-stroke ratio. It could well go the way of the Shore freeride bike, with a higher main pivot location and an idler pulley, but still making use of the four-bar linkage rather than adopting the virtual pivot design of the Range enduro bike.
It's also worth mentioning that the Sight is currently available in both 27.5" and 29" configurations. We don't foresee that 27.5" option sticking around, though it may remain for the smallest frame size with good justification for doing so.
YT IzzoThe YT Izzo was last updated in 2020, making it a strong contender for renewal in 2024. The 130mm travel trail bike fared well in our 2022 Value Field Test, and our testers had only a minor gripe about clearance around the shock valve and frame. Realistically, I can't see this one getting any radical changes in 2024, but it will likely accrue that neat frame storage we saw on the new
Jeffsy.
Marin Alpine TrailMarin's longest travel offering is the Alpine Trail, currently available in both carbon and aluminum. The current version came into being in 2020, and it does not run a UDH. That will certainly be rectified in any new iteration. I can't see the geometry getting a huge overhaul; the headtube angle is already a slack 63.5°, and the steep seat angles are in line with the prevailing trend. It is a dedicated 29er at the moment, so it would be nice to see Marin add capacity for wheel size adjustment. The linkage-driven single pivot delivers 150mm travel, so there's plenty of scope for this one to gain at least 10mm rear wheel travel, possibly more, with potential for the 430mm stays to gain some length, too.
Transition Scout and
Transition SentinelThere's every chance that Transition will simply discontinue its 27.5" wheel 140mm travel Scout, what with 27.5" wheels becoming something of a dying breed. It's coming up on four years since the Scout saw any meaningful updates, and we can't really see them pouring a heap of R&D resources into an evolution of this particular configuration. That said, it's not impossible the Scout will move to a mullet setup, just as we saw Santa Cruz reposition the 5010, only with slightly more aggressive geometry figures.
It's been a long time since the Sentinel saw an overhaul, too. The very well-received incumbent has been in place since 2020. I'd like to think that any new iteration of the Sentinel will see some kind of drainage port put in place underneath the shock to eradicate the issue of the "loam swimming pool", and I reckon taller riders will want to see that effective seat tube angle go steeper, in line with more recently released bikes of this category. Again, I can't see any radical changes coming from Transition, and I'd eat my hat if they moved away from the Horst platform.
Scott Gambler and RansomIt's no huge surprise to see Scott implementing the integrated shock solution - seen on the Genius and Spark - on a new Ransom. An
annotated prototype was spotted last season at the EDR in Loudenvielle, France. It'll be interesting to see how Scott will tackle the issue of shock temperature, which I imagine is something that would've at least been considered, especially in the context of the 12+ minute race runs that the EDR often presents. Chances are it won't fit a coil shock, as the current Ransom is capable of. Oh, and fingers crossed they'll have abandoned the thru-headset cable routing we saw on the prototype.
Another model that has remained the same since 2020 is the Gambler downhill bike. It's hard to imagine how this one might change; it already has two sets of flip-chips that let you run either rear wheel size and change the suspension’s progression. We’ve seen Scott
play around with pulleys and high pivots before now, but they never committed to the design. Perhaps they will revisit it, given how much success high pivot designs have seen on the World Cup circuit in recent years. Or, they'll go ahead and bamboozle us all by putting the shock inside a DH frame, too.
Lapierre SpicyThis one's a sure thing. A
new Lapierre Spicy was spotted underneath Lapierre-Zipp Collective team rider, Adrien Dailly, ahead of the EDR in Morzine-Avoriaz last season. Like the current model that Isabeau Courdurier rode to victory on in 2022 and 2023, the new frame runs a four-bar linkage, but it looks to have a slightly different layout wherein the more horizontally-oriented shock is simultaneously compressed from each end as the rear wheel is displaced.
It'll run a UDH dropout for T-Type compatibility, and will probably have that flip-chip on the lower shock mount, which could allow for geometry, wheel size, travel adjustment, or all of the above.
Pivot SwitchbladeThe Switchblade materialized in its current 142mm travel configuration in 2020, with Super Boost rear spacing and the capacity to run a 29" x 2.6" or 27.5" x 2.8" rear tire. Turns out that the market's appetite for high-volume tires sort of peters out beyond 2.5". It's my understanding that demand for a 27.5"+ rear end is remarkably low. While the Super Boost rear-end on the Firebird enduro bike is arguably easier to justify, it seems a little out of place on a bike of this category.
To that effect, I wouldn't be surprised if Pivot were to return to the 148mm Boost standard. I reckon it would make the bike a more attractive proposition, with the potential to make an already lightweight frame even lighter.
Evil FollowingIt's coming up on four years since Evil Bikes last updated their 120mm travel 29er, the Following. We did see it switch to a UDH swingarm in 2022, but all other details were left untouched. So, I wouldn't be surprised if we saw it refreshed in 2024, with more aggressive geometry figures that will push it toward the more extreme end of the downcountry category. While the 66.4º head tube angle was a little ahead of its time in 2020, it seems a little conservative now, especially in the context of highly-capable descenders like the Canyon Spectral 125.
Devinci TroyThe Devinci Troy Carbon has existed in its current 140mm travel format since late 2020. It's their "no excuses" all-mountain bike with a split pivot suspension platform and adjustable geometry. Could it go the way of the Spartan and the Chainsaw with a higher main pivot and idler pulley to boot, or will Devinci keep to the more traditional layout with the comparatively lower maintenance?
Ibis Ripmo and
Ripmo AFOver four years has gone by since Ibis updated the Ripmo, or its aluminum counterpart, the Ripmo AF. And, both models are on sale with 25% off the RRP of the GX, SLX and XT builds, as well as the frame only. For a little while, the Ripmo was Ibis' longest travel bike with a 29" wheel, and it certainly saw its fair share of EWS racing action underneath Robin Wallner and Bex Baraona. The burlier HD6 now occupies that territory with 165mm travel on an MX configuration.
Realistically, we can't see the Ripmo or Ripmo AF changing too dramatically. Nevertheless, it'll be interesting to see how Ibis, and all of these brands, go about differentiating themselves at a time when bike geometry is pretty dialed.
The Sight is built like a tank and weighs like one aswell.
IMO if they updated the linkage with a longer stroke shock, increased stack - it'll probably be one of the best bikes ever.
But 100% they will put a High pivot on it and ruin what makes the bike so good.
There are a few, it's not that great a bike.
If there are no bike companies left you won’t have a website, nice work OUTSIDE or whoever took over the site
"Since then Norco has fixed all the problems I highlighted (so it was not just me moaning!) and has sent out new frame parts and bike components to existing owners changed the specification on the new models, changed their setup guide and manufacturing processes all thanks to my independent review!
This bike was a nightmare for me, but ultimately Shore customers are getting their existing bikes upgraded or better bikes in the future. "
I have an aluminum one and it’s just heavy as f*ck. But that’s what makes it rock solid. I wish I could get it down to 30lbs and I’d never get a new bike.
www.vitalmtb.com/forums/The-Hub,2/2020-MTB-Tech-rumors-and-innovation,10797?page=502
Next eeb will be a Decoy. Cheap, tried and true, and if there's an issue it's a drive to UPS (boxed up bikes many times, so that's not a hassle to me)
I'll bet a 6-pack its the same front triangle
It's a very, very close front triangle but I'm convinced it's 100% not the same.
Or the Scor bikes...
I mean a 63.5 HA, and a 65 HA arent that far off
I love a lot of what Norco has done over the years, but imo going hp with Sight and Optik is a mistake. They no longer will have a lively, capable trail bike. I'll be curious to take both out to see if my reactions hold any water.
What I was told, was they share a front triangle, but that isnt something that is being advertised as such
bike has been bombproof, could huck it from the roof of any school, or parked school bus!
Check out the New Knolly Endorphin as well, its a winner, and the Transition bikes, I have had great success, and durability with them.
None of us have ridden, or even seen the bike entirely yet, and somehow youve decided it wont be even better than it was before?
I for one, want a HP Optic. Possibly a more capable descender (which is really the only criticism it received, you included) with the same firm, efficient pedalling platform, sounds amazing to me. If Norco is somehow able to keep the bike weight down (i doubt it) then that sounds like a real winner to me.
SO same formula for the Sight, a more capable descender, with a firmer more efficient pedalling platform, friggin amazing!
I'm pulling the trigger on a V2 Druid
I have a feeling its gonna be Shore shaped, rather than range shaped, and frig
Screw you @rrolly I've waited long enough!
Range shaped
www.vitalmtb.com/forums/The-Hub,2/2020-MTB-Tech-rumors-and-innovation,10797?page=527
Also, Shore shaped by the photos on vital.
The pedalling kinematics of the Druid are pretty friggin good
I made no assumption about mullet or not with the Sight, I beleive both the Optic and Sight are both mullet capable. I just noted it as FaB of the Druid
Not overly interested in the AXS, so it'll prolly go up for sale to swap out a cable actuated GX kit.
that price for the spec, compared to their other specs was a no-brainer
I am a big Norco fan, we have the current gen in our fleet, its great, very similar to my V1 Sentinel.
I've been lusting over the Optic for a while now, and that was the bike I was going to get.
Spent some time on a Fluid, did not care for it, so the hope of an alu Optic was fading.
If pushed between the two, the Druid is a better looking bike to me, and the spec/price of the GX FX is pretty hard to beat, and new Optic is going to be more expensive.
The Druid is going to be a good compliment to my Spire, and I'm stoked to get it!
Thats going to be a fun bike!
www.vitalmtb.com/forums/The-Hub,2/2020-MTB-Tech-rumors-and-innovation,10797?page=529
My Druid has arrived, but I’m out of town. GX FX build, pretty stoked to rip some local trails on it.
I'm average at best, but I can feel the difference between a 26" and 27" rear wheel, even after correcting the geometry.
They are not that different really...
Youre probably feeling that reach, or something like that....Or maybe you could be set up with very low low speed compression? Seems unliekly since you have had a ton of miles on it and have a shop on hand..
Ive felt the same thing in different ways, currently i just got a 25kG all out enduro Ebike. Its trully a trophy truck... Barely can lift its front it, its a truck.
Still, i need to really get a grip on the handling... Getting used to the geo, seems to be a lot of the issue...
either bike is extremely capable
I grew up in the 80s, idolizing guys like Dennis McCoy. I bought my V3 Scout carbon in April 2022. This little blue bike makes me feel like a young man, so I named it "Viagra".
I won't be getting another frame for a while, but when I do, I hope I'll be able to purchase a new carbon Scout, hopefully with dual 27.5" tire compatibility and no cable going through the headset.
Just voicing my opinion as a current TR bike owner. Love what you guys do, and that the bikes are designed by people who can ride. Thanks for your consideration. Cheers, Happy new year!
www.pinkbike.com/forum/listcomments/?threadid=172995&pagenum=80#commentid7215910
I actually did a two day race with one day xc and the second day enduro, both on the scout, and got the overall win in my category.
. UDH mech hanger
. downtube storage compartment
. headset routing
2 mm would do heaps
Yeah, I thought it was pretty well known "code" that the "other" website is either vitalmtb or pinkbike, depending on which site you're on (each referring to each other).
I lurk the tech rumors thread, as I find it quite interesting, and usually pretty accurate/informative.
It doesn’t need:
Loam cupboard with no cupboard door
Headset routing
IS headset
Which is why I didn’t buy a smuggler
www.kelvelo.com/vtt-all-mountain/71400-150631-Lapierre-zesty-am-cf-89.html#/57-taille_des_velos-l/790-couleur-unique
www.pinkbike.com/news/kona-previews-new-process-x-alloy-and-carbon-153.html
It’s just a fun, playful bike everywhere else. Very easy to get used to an confidence inspiring. That said, it’s time for some refinements and updates. Hope they get their stuff together and put out something new.
(Sorry, I’ll see myself out.)
Given the company’s small size, the amount of $ it takes to update a bike, and the current state of the bike industry, I would be really surprised to see any updates from them in the next 12-24 months.
I have a friend who is in only XL range... you long people actually got it pretty bad, no matter the brand. My biggest issue is do I go M or L, so I live on an easy mode
Hell, a model year 2017 Banshee prime or Raaw Madonna with modern components would be a totally competitive bike in its class.
But with Avy Bomber CR it rides like mint for epic or enduro.
"The Stumpjumper EVO is also getting a little long in the tooth, having not seen an update since 2020. While time is marching on, we can't really identify any obvious revisions that this one might benefit from."
Or: It works just right, but update it just for the sake of updating.
Is a great example, super adjustable, solid geo, durable, a bike you could truly own for 5-7 years and still not be behind the times.
They are clutching at straws if all they can push is UDH - so we can pay a fortune to run Sram's latest leccy gears.
Looking at my MTBs now, I could see myself keeping them for the foreseeable future.
I already added a -1 angleset on mine putting at the trail bike norm of 65. It'll be interesting to see what geo they decide on as Pivot I would say is typically more reserved in that category (which I like).
29 only?
157
More travel?
just a firebird with less travel?
Also agree with the "keep some full 27,5" bikes" ^^
The Gen 6 Trek Fuel EX is a slightly lighter weight frame that is *very* close to the Devinci Troy is suspension design and geo... and the Fuel EX won a bunch of bike of year awards, right?. I think no one really reviewed the Troy seriously or the magic of this frame would be more widely known. I ran my Troy with a coil and Nobl TR41's... so good. Never should of sold it. The Django is similarly pretty awesome I have heard... the guy i sold my Troy to raced enduro's on a Django and bought my Troy to handle rowdier courses better.
www.pinkbike.com/forum/listcomments/?threadid=246632
hoping for +5mm chainstay and reach and 10mm more travel and it will be my next bike
be their new park/DH frame.
The new Levo SL is super good looking though and it would be great to see a new Stumpy EVO without that whack looking side brace ( IMHO)
I’m on the shorter side, so bike sizing and fit is a big issue. While still riding a 2020 Transition Patrol, in full 27.5”, which I must add, is an incredibly good bike, if I were looking for a new ride, my options are becoming more limited.
Transition Spur dates back to 2019 - so 5 years old
Stumpjumper and Stumpy Evo are 4 years old
_
Seems like a lot of brands are too busy working on e-bikes these days to refresh at the rates they once did.
On the flip side, bikes just aren’t changing at the rate they did 5-10 years ago now that geometry and fit are so dialed (as well as kinematics and suspension tech)
Would be cool to see some bike models have a strong 5-6 years run before the new version.
Norco: New Optic and Sight to be released in February. Sight first. Both to go high-pivot and sharing the same front triangle with modular shock mounts. Both carbon only. No more 27.5" Sight, but mixed wheel compatible.
Scott: New Ransom to be released on February 1st, 4pm. Long-travel enduro with 170mm of true six-bar suspension. Headset routing only, shock hidden within frame. Carbon only, no alloy version. Very steep price tag.
Marin: New long travel rig from Marin apparently in 2024. Supposed to pull double duty as enduro and freeride bike. Dual-crown compatible and "bike park rated".
Will the new Enduro be more Stumpy?
You'll have companies that just try to ride it out. Make minor moves. Paint. Suspension packages and component changes. Etc.
And you'll have companies that spend the down turn on R&D. They accept that they're still making money it's just not 2020-2022 money. They'll reinvest what they have in updates and improvements. And when the economy picks up and the industry finishes pushing all the warehouse backstock out, they'll be ready to capitalize on it.
Perfect example is Shimano vs SRAM when Covid hit. Or Ford when the economy tanked and they came out the otherside with better vehicles than they'd had in a long long time.
But yeah... new stuff isn't the issue. It's getting rid of everything that's sitting in warehouses that got overproduced in 2023.
Anyone that didn't and is ready to buy right now is stoked. end of 2023 and through most of 2024 are going to be the best deal the industry has seen in a long long time and will likely see for a long time after. By late 2024/mid 2025 things will be well on their way to normalizing.
Example... buy a bike for $7500. 2 years later you sell it for $5k. Now you only need $2500 to get a new one. But when used bikes dips harder than new bikes that are already dipping hard... now you're like... Hey I spent $7500. Sell it for $3k. New bike is $6500. You're out $3500.
Just an example.
But I do see where you're heads at. It's definitely easier to digest loss when it's a toy... like my snowboards. I stopped selling them. They just go on the wall. At some point maybe I'll sell a few but it'll be for beer money.
Maybe some internal frame storage?
That being said, I can’t point to any specific aspect of the bike that seems out of date.
Maybe we are just looking at a much more stable and mature market than we’ve had over the past decade. From the perspective of sustainability (and consumer value) this feels like a welcome change.
The biggest thing I’d look at on the Stumpy and Epic Evo are dropper post insertion depth and actual vs. effective seat angle … and size specific chainstay lengths.
And the sale prices have been hard to beat.
The new version of my bike was released this past year and I'd be hard-pressed to justify an "upgrade." The geometry and suspension are virtually identical. There are some minor tweaks that made sense, but they address issues that I haven't faced in four years on my current ride.
I bought an altitude and don't regret anything. There is nothing to change to make it better except for the frame storage.
I just want a bigger alu ibis that is a more park friendly. and don't really wanna build a new wheel for the back, but would. Not a carbon guy.
My vote for Ibis in 2024 - straight top tubes and alloy + carbon options for all three of these models please!
I would also love to see a mullet option for the Ripmo if it gets an update.
www.offsetbushings.com/collections/metric-shock-bushings/products/mtb-shock-bushing-15mm-x-8mm
I looked into doing the 50mm stroke shock a while back and reached out to Ibis. They said 'please don't... it wasn't designed for that' (but that's a pretty standard industry response).
So I've ended up keeping the Ripmo as is, and have an Epic Evo with a longer stroke shock and 130mm fork for when I want a light 'xc / trail' bike.
Also, changes to suspension, brake, and tire technology impact what the bike is capable of, allowing for different geometry.
There’s a reason you didn’t see super-slack bikes in the early and mid-2000s, they did what they could with the technology.
okay, we welded a Showa fork off a Kawasaki Ninja onto a GT, but still....
My Burton Fish has a similar outer shape over the years but as an example, my brother's is flat with early rise nose. Mine is flat with early rise nose but has an inverted 3D shape in the rear for the snow to funnel through and the nose is like a boat hull. They ride COMPLETELY different even though from the top down they look almost identical.
My buddy bought a YES this year. It's got an inverted 3D nose with spooned tail. My other buddy is on a yes that runs a fairly standard base layout but has a step notched side rail and indented tail for increased pop.
Then you've got the changes in materials. Carbon bands. Bamboo. Different fiberglasses. Different epoxies. Etc.
So you've got your low end stuff that maintains pretty tried and true shapes and technologies like the Capita board.... same thing in the bike industry. You'll have bike companies that don't make massive updates very often. But your high end stuff is ALWAYS changing. That's one of the things you're paying for.
You can get by on a 10 year old board and lots of people do it. Some of us don't. I road my old Sierra board fora. long long time. It was basically a Burton board with carbon stringers added. It worked fine. You could tell when it started losing pop, etc. But the shape was fine. I'm on a Burton Flight Attendant now. More modern shape. More modern layout method in regards to materials, bands, etc.... it's so much better it's not even funny.
Who cares about putting stuff inside a frame, make a frame bag.
I stand by that ebikes on like a normal trail system are unnecessary and take the fun out